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Thread: What's Going on with the Dollar rate???

  1. #681
    Florida Expert gail and david roberts's Avatar
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    sorry to say I need to send some money in the next couple of days ,
    so would you sort it today or hold off until next week hoping it will stop going down and pick up a little
    Gail



  2. #682
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    Whatever I suggest it will do the opposite, but it does sometimes pickup on Friday afternoon, then drops Monday morning with the big boys picking up their profits.

    The Dow etc all closed down yesterday, this could be an indicator of an upward move!!! Maybe.

    Lynne


  3. #683
    Florida Expert gail and david roberts's Avatar
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    Thanks Lynne , well I will wait until tomorrow and see what happens at the end of the Day it need to go so will just have to send it [msnsad]
    Gail



  4. #684
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    Quote Originally Posted by gail and david roberts View Post
    sorry to say I need to send some money in the next couple of days ,
    so would you sort it today or hold off until next week hoping it will stop going down and pick up a little
    I would say that, depending on the amount involved, a couple of days probably isn't going to see a dramatic move either way (that's jinxed it now). While this recent fall is quite troubling, it's been slow gradual decline so there might not be a great difference over a short period like a couple of days.

    All IMHO of course!!!


  5. #685
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    "U.S. stocks fell on Thursday and were on track for their biggest two-day decline since November as weak data suggested expectations for economic growth were overly optimistic".

    Just read the above on Business news, could this mean Sterling will strengthen over the coming weeks?

    Lynne


  6. #686
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    This slow and painful decline continues. I enquired at my usual source this moring and was offered $1.465.

    Still some way off the point where I hold back from booking but we could do with a couple of up days just to break the pattern.


  7. #687
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    Quote Originally Posted by Katys Grandad View Post
    This slow and painful decline continues. I enquired at my usual source this moring and was offered $1.465.

    Still some way off the point where I hold back from booking but we could do with a couple of up days just to break the pattern.
    It usually seemsto be a bit lower at the weekend, I guess to allow for transactions over the weekend when the rate doesnt change weve found.
    Babblin Boo


  8. #688
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    Quote Originally Posted by steph_goodrum View Post
    It usually seemsto be a bit lower at the weekend, I guess to allow for transactions over the weekend when the rate doesnt change weve found.
    That's interesting - I've never noticed that before so I'll be looking out for it in future. Down 1.35c today and the commercial rate dipped below $1.50 for a while. I suspect that's mostly due to more fundamental factors but I haven't really got a clue about all this stuff other than I know I don't like it!


  9. #689
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    Quote Originally Posted by Katys Grandad View Post
    That's interesting - I've never noticed that before so I'll be looking out for it in future. Down 1.35c today and the commercial rate dipped below $1.50 for a while. I suspect that's mostly due to more fundamental factors but I haven't really got a clue about all this stuff other than I know I don't like it!
    Me too, especially as we didnt top up our holiday fund when it was 1.6 in Jan, kept thinking it wouldnt move too much. C'est la vie. It was one of the currency exchange bureaus who mentioned to me it often was slightly lower before the weekend and a few times when I have checked over a week it appears to have been that way.
    Babblin Boo


  10. #690
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    More bad news for the Dollar.

    Sterling has fallen to a two-and-a-half-year low against the dollar after manufacturing figures for February revealed a fall in output.
    The closely watched Markit/CIPS purchasing managers' index showed a slump in activity to 47.9 - well below the 50 level which separates growth from contraction.
    It was the first time since last November the sector's activity shrunk, and followed 50.2 in January.
    The value of the pound slipped following the data, and fell below \$1.50 on Friday afternoon - its lowest since the middle of 2010.
    Sterling has only been beneath the \$1.50 mark for four of the 200 years since the US Declaration of Independence.
    The last time it was at this level was briefly during the 2010 election and coalition-building process, and before that the 2008/09 recession.
    Chris Williamson, chief economist at Markit, said the manufacturing data increased the chance that Britain will slip back into recession.
    "The return to contraction of the manufacturing sector is a big surprise and represents a major set-back to hopes that the UK economy can return to growth in the first quarter and may avoid a triple-dip recession," he said.
    "The data so far this year point to manufacturing output falling by as much as 0.5%, meaning a strong rebound is needed in March to prevent the sector from acting as a drag on the economy as a whole in the first quarter."
    The struggling sector contributed to the UK's worse-than-expected 0.3% decline in output in the fourth quarter of last year, and a negative reading for the first quarter of 2013 would see the UK enter a triple-dip recession.
    Nawaz Ali, a market analyst with Western Union, said the manufacturing data could increase pressure on the Bank of England (BoE) to launch a new round of asset purchasing - or quantitative easing - as early as next week.
    "The data is a major setback for sterling and the size of the manufacturing decline indicates that there is still a chance the British economy may suffer an unprecedented triple-dip recession," he said.
    "The data also adds to growing concerns that not only could the BoE re-start monetary printing in March, the central bank's new flexible inflation strategy puts it in a position to launch a prolonged period of asset purchases, similar to what the US have done and what the Bank of Japan is planning to do."
    More quantitative easing is likely to hit sterling further because it increases its supply and drives the currency's exchange value lower.
    So far this year, sterling - which was also hit by Moody's downgrade of the UK's credit rating - has lost 7.5% against the dollar.

    Jeeps a downward trend, not good.

    Lynne


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