tropical storm jenne is out in the atlantic at the moment,what is the chances of it hitting florida by the 23rd of sep, surely i can not have 2 holidays cancelled in 1 month.please give me good news.
Printable View
tropical storm jenne is out in the atlantic at the moment,what is the chances of it hitting florida by the 23rd of sep, surely i can not have 2 holidays cancelled in 1 month.please give me good news.
The affects of Ivan will influence this one so it is as usual a wait and see game but all the outlooks show it going to the right of Florida so maybe you’ll get a little precipitation. Currently it is a Tropical Storm so not a big deal at the moment.
SOrry to be the bearer of bad news but I found this web page.[msnsad][msnsad]
http://wwwa.accuweather.com/adcbin/p...ines.asp?iws=5
The good news is that it loooks like it should have passed by Monday.[msnscared]
I hope I'm not considered to be scaremongering by posting this, but I think all should be aware. Let me know if anyone hears any different.
Expected track currently is :-
http://www.orlando-guide.info/forums...315_jeanne.gif
That look's a little more technical than mine!!! [msnembarrased][msnembarrased][msnembarrased]
Best not to worry unduly just yet. There are many hurricanes each year that we do not even hear about, because of the severity this year everyone knows about them more than normal.
This isnt even a hurricame, it is a tropical storm and from what I can see isnt going to effect the Orlando area anyway, well probably not.
Lesley
Hi Phil & Mel. The site you posted shows all the simulators output. What this shows is the diverse projections in long track outlooks from the monitoring sites. They don’t converge to become less certain till about 24 – 48 hours out.
Good fun tracking this stuff but we shouldn’t worry, statistically that is! [msnwink]
Hey Tyson,
C'mon don't get paranoid! You're supposed to be going to enjoy yourselves, not worrying about where the next tropical storm is brewing. There's always some about at this time of year anyway. Get yorsel' oot in the sun and have fun in Disney toon !! Leave the hurricane tracking to the weathermen!![msncool]
Would you beleive it I am off the Savannah for a couple of days, yeh you have guessed it Sept 22nd and 23rd, and that thing is heading straight for me.
Al
Well on current probablitie, this is more likely to hit the Carolinas than Florida. And only a tropical storm currently with 65 miles per hour maximum sustained winds. After what we have been through recently, even if it hit, it would be a breeze ( pun:D)
<blockquote id="quote" class="ffs">quote:Originally posted by esprit
Well on current probablitie, this is more likely to hit the Carolinas than Florida. And only a tropical storm currently with 65 miles per hour maximum sustained winds. After what we have been through recently, even if it hit, it would be a breeze ( pun:D)
[/quote]
This is like working in a weather station.....hehehehe
the Carolinas or out to sea would be my guess too.....
The Carolinas were my first guess for Ivan........ then Alabama or Texas or anywhere in between .......Labour day seems a bad time for FL.......
<blockquote id="quote" class="ffs">quote:Originally posted by KevinT
Hey Tyson,
C'mon don't get paranoid! You're supposed to be going to enjoy yourselves, not worrying about where the next tropical storm is brewing. There's always some about at this time of year anyway. Get yorsel' oot in the sun and have fun in Disney toon !! Leave the hurricane tracking to the weathermen!![msncool]
[/quote]
My thoughts exactly (as I am sure of some others). Tyson, you are spending too much time worrying about the weather which nobody can do anything about instead of making the best of your stay in Orlando. I know that your long planned holiday plans were disrupted by the hurricanes, but weather is something nobody can do anything about. There are many others, particularly the villa owners, who suffered a lot more than you by these freak weather conditions and did so in relative silence. So stop acting petulant, get on with it and enjoy yourself the best you can!
hey come on remember there are more good points then bad and think positively!!!
have a lovely lovely time and we're all looking forward to your trip reports!!!!!!:)
Hi Tyson
Please enjoy your holiday...at the moment Jeanne is not affecting anywhere near where you are (nor hopefully will it) and if you are getting paranoid about this it will upset your children who I am sure would prefer to see Mickey & co rather than having a lesson in "Hurricanes".
Jo
Have a look at this chart which shows all the September tropical storms since 1851, notice Florida is totally clear despite being surrounded, the chances of a holiday being affected must be so remote as to not warrant worrying about it.
http://www.orlando-guide.info/forums...icalstorms.jpg
i didnt realise the forum had been around that long fighting off the storms :D :D :D :D :D :D
Think we are all getting a bit paranoid about hurricanes this year, its better to remember that this has been a rather unusual year then dwell on the recent events.[msnsmile]
We have all, at some time in life ,had to weather a storm I guess. Jenne is just one of them[msneek]
"THIS MIGHT BE A GOOD TIME TO REMIND EVERYONE THAT THE AVERAGE FIVE DAY NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST ERROR IS ABOUT 375 MILES...IN OTHER WORDS...IT IS STILL TOO SOON TO BE SURE WHAT PORTION OF THE UNITED STATES MIGHT BE AFFECTED BY JEANNE."[msnwink]
Last year there were several storms on the 5 day forecast that looked as though they were going to hit Miami and each time we worried and our son got cross as only once was the surf up and not one storm came anywhere near enough to cause anyone to have to get in supplies or take any precautions whatsoever.
Each year there are these storms as it is hurricane season in this region but the last time Florida was so badly hit was over 50 years so this year is just a freak year.
English people discuss the weather all year round at home so why not have a 'holiday' from worrying about the weather and spend the time enjoying your holiday.
Hi Tyson
Yes this is hurricane season, Yes this is the worst year we have had for forty years, Yes a lot of distruction has happened and some have died. FORTY YEARS IS A LONG TIME AGO. Here in the UK we have put up with a lot from the weather, Florida is used to hot humid weather, so when a tropical storm or hurricane comes 50 to 140mph winds are very different, in our wweather climate it a breeze.
I was out there when Charley hit us, I went to Universal that morning, Park was still open til 2.00pm had a brillant time, no queues although there was still a couple of thousand people there, Storm came about 8.00pm it was about the same as a bad winter in the UK only we had double glazing.
Enjoy the holiday, hopefully just get wet on the rides, but if the rain and storm does come, get I t-shirt I survived (IVAN/JEANNE/WHATEVER)
At least you will have some stories to tell back home.
Ceri